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Transnational Terrorism, Security and the Rule of Law

Fragile states

The UN' s notion of peace in Haiti and Guatemala

By Madalena Mendonça Moita (28/10/2008)

T.Belizaire/AFP/Getty Images

This article analyses the difference between the models used by the United Nations for conflict resolution in Guatemala and Haiti and the consequences that currently affect those countries.

 

Fragile states

The proliferation of the "parallel state"

By Ivan Briscoe (13/10/2008)

J.Razuri/AFP/Getty Images
Based on a close study of the interaction between public institutions and armed or criminal groups in Pakistan and Guatemala, as well as other cases ranging from Fujimori's Peru to contemporary Guinea-Bissau, this working paper sets out to define the novel concept of the "parallel state".

International responses

The responsibility to contribute

By Robert Matthews (07/10/2008)

A. Romana/AFP/Getty Images
This comment, which is based on a presentation given by Robert Matthews before the Asembleia da República de Portugal on June 25, focuses on the role of Europe and the responsibility of industrial nations to protect the physical, economic and social well-being of peoples in developing and conflicted areas of the world. The international system needs to be strengthened to deal with this situation, and Europe could play a role by coordinating its soft power instruments in conflict and post-conflict situations.

Fragile states

For a more progressive transatlantic agenda

By Jean-Paul Marthoz (01/10/2008)

Should the U.S. and Europe work more together? Yes, as long as they give a more progressive direction to a common transatlantic agenda.

States in crisis

A chance for peace? The Collapse of the"Third Front" in the war against terrorism

By Alain Gresh (24/09/2008)

Jack Guez/AFP/Getty Images
The new process of negotiations between Israel and Syria is a promising event that may produce positive outcomes in Lebanon and in the long term in the Middle East. The European Union and the next US Administration could play a positive role.

Fragile states

State crisis and the social pact in Bolivia

By Laura Tedesco (23/09/2008)

STR/AFP/Getty Image

As clashes between central government and the independence movement have worsened, Bolivia is going through a critical political period. This commentary offers an analysis of this political situation as part of the process of formation of the Bolivian state and of the establishment of a new social contract

International responses

The international response to the Darfur crisis

By David Lanz (19/09/2008)

I. Sanogo/AFP/Getty Images
This comment looks at different dimensions of the international response to the Darfur crisis: humanitarian aid, mediation, peacekeeping, and justice. This response eclipses all other conflicts in Africa, but it has not been effective.

Fragile states

Haiti: from the "Pearl of the Antilles" to desolation

By Nancy Roc (19/09/2008)

T.Belizaire/AFP/Getty Images
The four cyclones that have hit Haiti in the last month have left many cities completely submerged under water, isolated and destroyed, in addition to causing hundreds of deaths. Haiti is undergoing one of the most important ecological catastrophes in the world, with deforestation affecting 98% of its national territory.

 

 

Fragile states

State weakness

By David Sogge (02/09/2008)

Corbis
Ever-increasing attention is being paid to the notion of state failure, referred to under a variety of terms – weak states, fragile states, states in crisis, countries at risk of instability and low-income countries subject to pressure. This article, written by David Sogge, seeks to explore this phenomenon.

Fragile states

After the peace comes the storm: Somalia's relentless crisis

By Richard Cornwell (27/08/2008)

After 17 years without a functional national state, hopes for peace in the war-torn African country rose after a surprising agreement in June between the government and the opposition-in-exile. In this Comment article Richard Cornwell explores the prospects for peace and asks what lies ahead for the people of the troubled nation.

Fragile states

Bolivia: a national clash over multiple worlds

By Jon Bright (04/08/2008)

Rodrigo Buendia/AFP/Getty Images

Two and a half years into his presidency, Evo Morales' reform programme has stalled, and Bolivia is in political deadlock. A crucial vote looms on August 10th which could help resolve the crisis - or prolong it. But while Bolivia remains embroiled in an immediate conflict over gas revenues and land redistribution, wider possible consequences of Morales' attempts to construct a "plurinational" state have gone underexamined. 

Case studies

Afghanistan, the limits of counter-insurgency

By Juan Garrigues, Robert Matthews (01/08/2008)

Getty Images
As the conflict in Afghanistan worsens and extends, a series of debates is unfolding in NATO and the need for discussion about the political options available to the international community and the political forces within Afghanistan is becoming increasingly urgent.

Fragile states

A Haiti facing grand challenges

By Mariano Aguirre Ernst, Amélie Gauthier (03/07/2008)

Courtesy of Radio Netherlands

The possible designation of the economist Michèle Pierre-Louis as Prime Minister could unblock the situation of paralysis in which Haiti has lived since April, when the crisis begun by the increase in food prices brought down then Prime Minister Jacques Edouard Alexis.

Fragile states

The food crisis in Haiti: a ruptured process?

By Amélie Gauthier (13/06/2008)

Secondhand/Flickr
The crisis in Haiti is nothing less than a giant step backwards for the peace stabilisation and consolidation process which began back in 2004. In April, violent disturbances took place throughout Haiti, causing the whole country to grind to a halt, and the Prime Minister was ousted. As Haiti sank deeper into chaos, neither the government nor the United Nations Mission (MINUSTAH) was able to do anything to check the unrest. In this article Amélie Gauthier explores the ongoing economic and political factors that have led to the crisis and asks what can be done to move forwards towards a sustainable solution.

States in crisis

Opportunities at the Afghan new scene

By Juan Garrigues (12/06/2008)

Although it seems difficult to believe, given what is published in the press, there are also reasons to be optimistic about Afghanistan. The increasing frequency and violence of the attacks carried out by the insurgency, comprised of the Taliban and the international jihad network that nourishes it, is in the main a response to the important losses it has suffered in confrontations with international forces in 2006 and 2007. The insurgency has responded with a change in tactics, distancing itself from conventional warfare and, in turn, obliging the international community to modify its strategy.


Publishing groups: Afghanistan and Pakistan: a region in crisis

Fragile states

Fragile states and neoliberalism in Sub-Saharan Africa

By Elsa González Aimé (27/05/2008)

 
 MUSTAFA ABDI/AFP/Getty Images
The representation of failed states as political spaces that are a threat to international stability has fuelled the search for policies that can strengthen the international system. Two recent publications, by Martin Doornbos and Padraig Connolly, deepen understanding of the processes of state collapse, the effects of neoliberal policies directed at them and the defence of security.

Fragile states

Sri Lanka: the end of the "peace without process"

By Diego A. Agúndez (26/05/2008)

SANKA VIDANAGAMA
/AFP/Getty Images

Sri Lanka is seeing a resurgence in ethnic conflict. The government in Colombo – formed from the Cingalese Buddhist majority – decided in January to break the ceasefire agreement signed in 2002 with the Tamil guerrillas and launch a new offensive. This Comment article explores the internal context in which the conflict in Sri Lanka has reemerged and the role of the principal international actors in the area.

 

International responses

The international response to Darfur

By Publicaciones FRIDE (12/05/2008)

Stuart Price / AFP / Getty Images
The armed conflict and humanitarian crisis in the Darfur region of Sudan has become a rallying cry for Western civil society, and is held to represent the worst series of ongoing human rights violations in the world today. Yet try as it might, the international community has not been able to stall the bloodshed, nor has the government in Khartoum shown great interest in pacifying the restive region. On Wednesday April 9, FRIDE held a closed seminar on international organisations’ response to the Darfur crisis. These are some of the questions that most concerned seminar participants.

Fragile states

Food crisis in Haiti: exposing key problems in the process of stabilisation

By Amélie Gauthier (22/04/2008)

Eric Thayer / Getty Images
Haiti has been hard hit by the global food crisis, which has culminated in riots all over the country, an attempt to invade the National Palace, and the removal from office of the Prime Minister just weeks ahead of the upcoming International Donor Conference in Port-au-Prince. This Comment article explores the factors which led to this latest violent and costly episode in the stabilisation process and asks what lessons can be learnt by the UN mission there.

International responses

The UN Stabilisation Mission in Haiti: analysis and recommendations for future mandates of the Mission

By Megan Burke, Amélie Gauthier (16/04/2008)

On 28 January 2008, representatives of Haitian civil society, donor governments and the United Nations were brought together by FRIDE in collaboration with the Canadian Permanent Mission to the United Nations to discuss the future of the MINUSTAH stabilisation mission in Haiti. This report relates the key points of discussion and recommendations from this meeting, divided into three main areas: the UN Peacekeeping Mission in Haiti, state-building and regional cooperation.

Fragile states

Moral and political grounds for the UN mission in Haiti

By Eduardo Aldunate Herman (01/04/2008)

In this Comment article General Brigadier Eduardo Aldunate, the former Military Second in Command of the United Nations Stabilisation Mission in Haiti (MINUSTAH), explores the complex problems facing the country and asks what the international community must do in order to address the challenges that lie ahead.

Case studies

The Kosovo debate: beyond the headlines

By Juan Garrigues (19/02/2008)

Daniel Mihailescu
AFP/Getty Images
Many people are understandably surprised at the extent to which Kosovo’s independence has heightened geopolitical rhetoric to Cold War levels and engrossed the international media’s attention. While a look at the articles and the op-eds in some of the world’s leading newspapers shows just how complex an issue this is, the many arguments that have been voiced for and against accepting Kosovo’s independence can be categorised into two broad groups. In this Comment article the author explores the perspectives of both camps.

International responses

Haiti: voices of the actors, a research project on the UN mission

By Amélie Gauthier (15/02/2008)

Photo by APROFISA, Haití
This Working Paper from FRIDE analyses the violence in Haiti and the response of the international community involved in implementing the MINUSTAH mandate. The information gathered in the interviews allows the actors to make their voices heard on many aspects of the situation in Haiti and to communicate their ideas to each other.

Fragile states

East Timor: self-determination under threat

By José Manuel Pureza (14/02/2008)

 

East Timor Prime Minister, Xanana Gusmão
Photo by Luis Enrique Ascui/Getty Images
The February 10 attacks on President Ramos Horta and Prime Minister Xanana Gusmão bring into relief not just the fragility of Timorese institutions, especially in the area of security, but also the climate of malaise and turbulence that has characterised the country’s political system for the last few years. This Comment article explores the challenges facing both Timorese politicians and the international community if the nation is to emerge from its troubled past and become a strong and healthy democratic state.

Fragile states

Under pressure: states in the global era

By Laura Tedesco (13/02/2008)

Based on a seminar of over 25 international experts held in Madrid, this paper assesses the main challenges facing the state system, and in particular the dilemmas of the world’s conflict-ridden and impoverished “fragile states.” Is the state facing extinction in parts of Africa and Asia? Does economic globalisation really eat away at the state? Is democracy a solution, or can it make matters worse? And what more could the international community do to repair damaged states?

States in crisis

Already a failed state? Pakistan in the aftermath of Bhutto's assassination

By Marco Mezzera (06/02/2008)

Pakistan’s President Pervez Musharraf is performing a delicate balancing act between appeasing pressure from the West and containing the increasing impatience of conservative religious circles in his own country. The assassination of the Pakistan People’s Party (PPP) chairperson, Benazir Bhutto, might have opened a new chapter in the growing sense of instability that is currently gripping the country.

See also: Democracy perspectives in Pakistan


Publishing groups: Afghanistan and Pakistan: a region in crisis

Fragile states

The democratisation of a dependent state: the case of Afghanistan

By Astri Suhrke (14/01/2008)

John D. McHugh/AFP/Getty Image

The US-led intervention in Afghanistan in late 2001 brought in its wake a formal democratisation process. A new constitution was promulgated, providing for an elected president and parliament along familiar Western lines. The heavy foreign hand contradicted the promise of national autonomy, representation and fair process held out by the democratisation agenda, however. This Working Paper focuses on three areas of political reform: the structuring of the interim administration, the promulgation of a new constitution, and the establishment of the legislature.

See also these FRIDE Comments:


Publishing groups: Afghanistan and Pakistan: a region in crisis

International responses

Statebuilding: can the international community get it right?

By Megan Burke (14/01/2008)

Statebuilding efforts by the international community in states in crisis have had limited success. Most analyses have sought to improve outcomes by examining “lessons learned” in one or more cases. This publication take a step beyond previous critiques and questions the approach of the industry as a whole, asking: Can the international community effectively build states?

Fragile states

Afghanistan and the crisis in Pakistan

By Mariano Aguirre Ernst (14/01/2008)

The debate about Afghanistan has centred on three issues: the objectives of the mission, the resources necessary to achieve them (especially human resources), and negotiations with the insurgents. Europe, for its part, needs to revise its local strategy and regional short-sightedness. In the wake of the assassination of Benazir Bhutto and the increased weakness of President Musharaff, there will be no solution for Afghanistan that does not also involve the future of Pakistan.


Publishing groups: Afghanistan and Pakistan: a region in crisis

Fragile states

De jure vs. de facto: a pyrrhic victory in Kosovo?

By Juan Garrigues (07/12/2007)

AFP / Getty Images
Perhaps the only thing that is clear in Kosovo is that there is a huge divide between the de jure status of this piece of land and the de facto reality on the ground. With a declaration of independence sometime after the December 10th negotiations deadline now considered inevitable, it is important to understand what the de facto reality on the ground actually looks like.

Fragile states

Rebuilding Chechnya: from conflict zone to house of cards

By Jessie Brouwers (04/12/2007)

The Kremlin insists to the outside world that the situation in the Republic of Chechnya is peaceful and stable. However, ongoing separatist activity in this North Caucasus republic seems to prove the opposite. This paper aims to describe the situation in Chechnya and current Russian policy towards the Republic. At the same time, it explores the positions of the European Union, the OSCE and the Council of Europe.

International responses

The responsibility to protect: from an ethical principle to an effective policy

By Juan Garrigues (23/11/2007)

The responsibility to protect represents a significant leap from previous debates, especially since the beginning of the 1990s, around the protection of groups threatened by genocide or violations of their human rights. The challenge remains for this ethical principle to become an effective policy.

Fragile states

Kosovo: the best of the bad solutions

By Juan Garrigues (23/11/2007)

The EU must accept the inevitable independence of Kosovo and work together so that an independent Kosovo does not become a failed state.

Case studies

Guatemala: security, human rights and the state after the elections

By Publicaciones FRIDE (19/11/2007)

Over 25 experts and diplomats from Latin America and Europe came together on November 15, as part of the “FRIDE in Casa de Galicia” series of seminars, to discuss the prospects for improved public security and effective government in Guatemala. The event came shortly after presidential elections in the country ended in victory for Álvaro Colom.


Publishing groups: FRIDE in Casa de Galicia

Case studies

Reform versus capture: Guatemala after the elections

By Ivan Briscoe (08/11/2007)

The social democrat Álvaro Colom won Guatemala's presidential elections on November 4. But what are the challenges that Colom will now face? What hope is there of achieving institutional turnaround in a country afflicted by narco-trafficking?

Fragile states

The Successive Crises of Somalia

By Josep Maria Royo Aspa (26/09/2007)

Somalia has been embroiled in bloody conflict for over 15 years. After the close of the National Reconciliation Conference, which was deemed a failure by many observers, this article takes an in-depth look at the various factions and asks what hope, if any, there is for the beleaguered East African country.

Fragile states

Fragile states and the new international disorder

By Jean-Marc Châtaigner, Leslie Ouarzazi (24/09/2007)

The international community’s approach to countries with weak regulatory structures is often out-of-step with sociological realities on the ground. How can donors best push forward the processes of development, both political and economic, in partner nations?

Case studies

Venezuela: is Hugo Chávez in control?

By Ivan Briscoe (17/09/2007)

As the Latin American country’s defiant president continues to brush off the criticisms he receives from Western leaders, the author investigates what is going on beneath the rhetoric in his oil-rich state.

Fragile states

The Failure and Collapse of the African State: on the Example of Nigeria

By John Emeka Akude (14/09/2007)

How do we explain the neglect of economic development in Africa by African rulers which is invariably connected to state weakness and collapse? Are there differences between the African statemaking process and those of more established states, say in the northern hemisphere?

International responses

Qué sucede con Iraq

By Mariano Aguirre Ernst (30/07/2007)

President Bush’s new initiative for the Israel-Palestine conflict, which leaves the democratically elected Hamas-led government out in the cold, has been met with deep scepticism from the Arab World.

Fragile states

Crime and drugs in fragile states

By Ivan Briscoe (20/07/2007)

International security policies have so far proved unable to stall the growing symbiosis between drug-trafficking networks and certain weak states.

Case studies

Can Democratic Elections Solve a Civil War? The case of Serbia and Kosovo

By Susan Woodward (18/07/2007)

The case of Serbia and continuing delays in a resolution to the status of Kosovo demonstrate the misunderstanding in European and American policy of the purpose and virtues of democratic elections and the counterproductive consequences for both a resolution of fundamental questions of statehood and for democratic development more generally.

Case studies

Haití - La misión de la última oportunidad?

By Amélie Gauthier (04/06/2007)

Not least than seven United Nations missions have come and gone through Port-au-Prince since 1991. Facing institutional collapse and gang violence, the UN has deployed an "integrated mission" with a much more ambitious mandate.  The outcome still remains highly uncertain.

Case studies

Organized Crime, the State, and Democracy: the cases of Central America and the Caribbean

By Angélica Durán Martínez (16/05/2007)

Based on a two-day conference held in early 2007 in New York, this report explores new thinking on the ills afflicting the region and how the international community might help remedy the problems of crime and corruption without undermining the fragile states.

Fragile states

The Latin American State: "failed" or evolving?

By Laura Tedesco (15/05/2007)

This Working Paper argues that Latin America’s plight is far better understood through the prism of a theory of the state that recognises the complex and ongoing, underlying process of transformation through which the region’s political institutions are passing.
(Photo by CARF)

Case studies

Honduras

By Angélica Durán Martínez (14/05/2007)

The stability of political parties in Honduras and their organisation may have prevented a deeper influence of organised crime in the political system such as that which has emerged in Guatemala.

Case studies

Trinidad & Tobago

By Angélica Durán Martínez (14/05/2007)

With high rates of economic growth and decreasing unemployment, Trinidad and Tobago (T&T) has been called a Caribbean ‘tiger’ (The Economist, 2006), awash with money and investment from the liquefied natural gas boom.

Prime Minister Patrick Manning has launched Vision 2020, a policy strategy which calls for T&T to acquire developed country status by 2020.

Case studies

The Kosovo Quandary: on the International management of statehood

By Susan Woodward (16/03/2007)

On March 10, 2007, after a final high-level meeting on a draft Comprehensive Proposal for a Kosovo Status Settlement, presented to the parties on February 2, the United Nations Special Envoy for Kosovo Martti Ahtisaari announced a dead end.

Case studies

Kosovo: From International Province to State?

By María Avello (07/03/2007)

In February 2007, the UN presented the Ahtisaari plan to define the legal status of Kosovo. Serbia considers it its province and believes that it is the plan’s intention to make it independent. The Albanian Kosovars see it as an incomplete attempt to maintain the territory under Serbian rule. The European Union faces the serious challenge of taking a stance on the future of Kosovo: should it be a new state or a protectorate?

International responses

Conflict prevention and the european response to states in crisis

By Ivan Briscoe (01/03/2007)

The European Union put conflict prevention at the heart of its foreign policy in 2001, but the new global security focus after September 11, confusion in Brussels and an overreliance on crisis management has obscured the need for deeper peace-building in fragile states.

Fragile states

Why Sometimes More is More: military assistance to Afghanistan

By Juan Garrigues (16/01/2007)

This paper argues that Astri Suhrke's thesis is flawed and that one of the main failures in the statebuilding strategy in Afghanistan was a shortage of military assistance after the overthrow of the Taliban.


Publishing groups: Afghanistan and Pakistan: a region in crisis

Case studies

Re-founding the State in Bolivia

By Mariano Aguirre Ernst, Isabel Moreno Carballal (11/01/2007)

The December 18 elections in 2005 in Bolivia proved to be a historic moment when the first indigenous president ever was elected by an absolute majority in a country whose majority indigenous population has been excluded for centuries. This report outlines the structural challenges facing Bolivia in this new phase.

Case studies

Haiti and the international donor community

By Mariano Aguirre Ernst, Amélie Gauthier (29/11/2006)

The Haiti Donors' Conference, which was held today in Madrid, will be decisive for the country's future. It will also test the capacity of international cooperation to address the problems of the so-called ‘fragile’ states.

International responses

Security in Haiti

By Amélie Gauthier (20/11/2006)

Comentary on the political and security situation in Haiti just before the Donor Conference oragnized in Madrid on November 30th, 2006.

Case studies

The Corroded State in Nicaragua

By Ivan Briscoe (09/11/2006)

After 17 years of opposition, Daniel Ortega won Nicaragua's presidential elections in November 2006. But there are serious doubts as to whether the Nicaraguan state will be able to spur equitable growth and build efficient institutions, while the willingness of the Sandinista leader to strengthen the rule of law at the cost of his party's political machine remains uncertain.

International responses

Civilian Dimension of International Crisis Management in Spain:commitments, alternatives and advantages

By Juan Garrigues, Luis Peral, Gabriel Reyes (22/02/2006)

This paper explores the possibilities and challenges for the creation and deployment of civilian capabilities for international crisis management in Spain. 

International responses

Sudan: intensive diplomacy, differed intervention and lack of effective protection for the population

By Luis Peral (14/12/2004)

In Sudan although the international community has been late and provided an insufficient answer, or precisely because of that, the Darfur massacre has to be constantly present in the United Nations reform, which has apparently gained new strength.

And, likewise, it must direct European efforts to consolidate a Security and Defence Policy that can contribute to putting the aims of the International Law into practice in the framework of a future European Constitution.

Case studies

Social innovation for human development. An Arab region perspective

By Nader Fergany (06/02/2003)

The concept of “human development” gained currency since 1990 when the United Nations Development Program (UNDP) adopted the term with a specific connotation, advanced a simplified index (HDI) to measure it- in spite of many refinements, the HDI is closer to an index of human development in the limited sense corresponding to conventional human capital- and started publishing an annual report on the subject. The human development concept is based on the intellectual heritage of the role of people in development as it evolved over the years, culminating in the first Human Development Report (UNDP, 1990).

Case studies

Arab human development and Europe

By Nader Fergany, Rafael Guardans Cambó (05/02/2003)

The Arab Human Development Report 2002 concludes that Arab countries have made significant strides in more than one area of human development in the last three decades. Nevertheless, the predominant characteristic of current Arab reality, as we have seen in Part II of this Report, seems to be the existence of deeply rooted shortcomings in the Arab societal structure. These shortcomings are an obstacle to building human development. We summarised them in the three deficits of freedom, empowerment of women, and knowledge.