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Cuba: the end of an era

21/02/2008 By Susanne Gratius

Sven Creutzmann / Mambo photo / Getty Images

Swift democratic opening should not be expected from the post-Fidel government. It is more likely the regime will begin a gradual transition towards a system that remains socialist in name, but allows for greater transparency and less centralisation, giving greater weight to state institutions and relying less on personality-driven politics.

Given that the Revolutionary Armed Forces have played a key role in transforming the business sector, it is probable that under Raul the agenda of economic reforms will be taken up once again.

With Cuban society harbouring high expectations, it will be difficult to guarantee the country’s continuity without change.

This article was published in La Vanguardia, the 21st of February 2008.

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Keywords

Cuba Democratisation Dictatorship Latin America & Caribbean Political Reform

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Bio author: Susanne Gratius

Latin America. Emerging powers. Brazil. Cuba. Venezuela. EU-Latin American relations.